Revise & Resubmit at American Economic Review
Joshua Coven, Sebastian Golder, Arpit Gupta, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: Bloomberg, Minneapolis Fed, Homes.com, CoStar News, Arpitrage, The Roundup, NYU Stern Research Highlights, Slate
Revise & Resubmit at Quarterly Journal of Economics
Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Zhixiu Yu
Coverage: Chicago Fed letter
Revise & Resubmit at Journal of International Economics
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: NPR Marketplace, La Tribune
Revise & Resubmit at Management Science
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: a16z Crypto Research
Forthcoming at American Economic Review: Insights
Meghana Gaur, John Grigsby, Jonathon Hazell, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: Marginal Revolution, NYU Stern Research Highlights, Atlanta Fed
Journal of Monetary Economics, volume 150, March 2025, 103699
Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Kyle Herkenhoff, Abdoulaye Cisse, Alessandro Dell'Acqua, and Ahmadou A. Mbaye
Coverage: VoxDev, Brookings Africa Growth Initiative, World Bank
Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics, vol. 1, num. 2, pp. 371-402, June 2023
Pawel Doligalski, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, and Nicolas Werquin
Coverage: Minneapolis Fed OIGI
Hidden Debt Revelation and Optimal Default, February 2026 (draft available upon request)
Forthcoming at Oxford Review of Economic Policy
Louphou Coulibaly and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
ACM FC 2025: Proceedings of the International Conference on Financial Cryptography and Data Security, February 2026, pp 245–262
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Coverage: a16z Crypto Research
ACM FC 2024: Proceedings of the International Conference on Financial Cryptography and Data Security, February 2025, pp 303–313
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Tax Productivity and Development: A Quantitative Macroeconomic Analysis, March 2025 | video (draft available upon request)
Radhika Goyal, Andres Jensen, David Lagakos, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Bocar A. Ba, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Roman G. Rivera, and Alexander Whitefield
Selected Ongoing Research
Illegitimate Taxation: Evidence from 40,000 Colonial Documents (presentation slides available upon request)
Augustin Bergeron and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Abstract: This paper studies how tax legitimacy shapes resistance to taxation. We examine colonial Nigeria, where British authorities introduced broadly similar taxes under a common colonial regime but confronted sharply different pre-existing fiscal systems and sources of legitimacy. Using 40,852 colonial administrative documents, we apply large language models to construct measures of tax sentiment and tax complaints, and validate them against a human-coded subsample. In a spatial regression discontinuity design at the historical boundary of the Sokoto Caliphate, we find more negative tax sentiment and higher complaint rates in areas where colonial taxation displaced a centralized fiscal order rooted in established moral and religious authority. These patterns are consistent with contestation of the colonial state’s right to tax rather than differences in tax instruments or burden, enforcement, administrative capacity, or colonial public goods provision. We also document persistence today using Afrobarometer measures of tax legitimacy, including beliefs about whether the tax authority has the right to make people pay taxes. The findings identify legitimacy as a distinct determinant of tax resistance and a key constraint on fiscal capacity.
Redistribution through Firms; The Impact of Oil Transportation Subsidies (presentation slides available upon request)
Data collection completed. Location: Ghana
Francis Annan and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Public Good Provision and Local Revenue Mobilization
In the field. DigiFi grant. Location: Kanifing, The Gambia
Hamidou Jawara, Justine Knebelmann, Joseph Levine, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, and Victor Pouliquen
Local Search and Aggregate Shocks (presentation slides available upon request)
Claudia Macaluso and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Artificial Intelligence, Misallocation, and Growth
Ebehi Iyoha and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Credit and Conflict in Nigeria
Olalekan Bello, Simone Lenzu, Toni Oki, and Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Breaking Barriers: How Policies, Norms, and Preferences Shape Women's Labor Force Participation
Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Zhixiu Yu